Russia just slashed gas exports to Europe (again). Here’s what to know.

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Well, well, well. If it isn't Russian energy moving markets again. I'm Phil Rosen, coming to you from Los Angeles. 

Moscow is tapering gas flows to Europe for the Nth time since the war began. Today we're going over what's happening, and why there's sure to be more developments to come.  Let's break it down. 


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Vladimir Putin Mikhail Metzel/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images

1. Russia's Gazprom slashed Nord Stream 1 gas flows again. It's been less than a week since the key pipeline restarted after maintenance.  Starting Wednesday, the state-run energy giant said it would decrease flows to 20%, after it already had been moving at only 40% before that. 

The pipeline had restarted on Thursday after shutting down for 10 days for retooling, and European officials accused Moscow of weaponizing energy in retaliation for wartime sanctions.  Gazprom said Monday that a second turbine would be removed for maintenance, though Germany said there's no technical reason for a reduction in flows.  Natural gas futures in Europe spiked 10% when the news broke Monday.

All the while, Russian oil exports have fallen for five straight weeks. Those cargoes are down 13% since mid-June as customers in Asia are easing up on buying.  A rolling four-week average shows that shipments are down by 480,000 barrels a day since the middle of last month, per Bloomberg data. As a result, Moscow's revenue from export duties fell from £168 million to £155 million. 

It's worth noting that Asia's biggest oil refiner dialed back its purchases of Russian crude, since it's unwilling to match the higher prices that customers in India and elsewhere are offering.  Last week, Bloomberg reported that Russia's crude shipments to China and India have plunged 30% from their wartime peaks. 


In other news:

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during his re-nominations hearing of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee on Capitol Hill, in Washington, U.S., January 11, 2022.Brendan Smialowski/Reuters

2.

US stock futures fall early Tuesday, as the Federal Open Market Committee's two-day meeting begins. The Fed's interest rates decision is due tomorrow, and investors are anticipating another 75-basis point hike. Here are the latest market moves.  3. On the docket: Microsoft Corp., Alphabet, and McDonald's Corp., all reporting

4. Goldman Sachs is recommending this batch of stocks to profit from their still-expanding returns. Certain companies still have gains ahead even as returns on equity may have peaked, according to the bank's analysts. See their 17 names here. 5. The Fed will eventually choose propping up growth over fighting inflation, according to BlackRock. And the top asset manager predicts the central bank will cut rates next year after a stretch of overtightening. "We expect more volatility, so we focus on nimble, tactical positioning."

6. "Dr. Doom," who forecasted the 2008 financial crash, said that predictions for a mild recession are "delusional" as a severe financial crisis looms. Nouriel Roubini said debt ratios are historically high while bailouts during the pandemic have resulted in "zombie corporations." Everything he's saying runs contrary to what big banks on Wall Street are expecting to happen. 7.

Coinbase faces a SEC investigation over listings. As per Bloomberg, the crypto exchange is facing an investigation into whether it improperly let US customers trade digital assets that should have been registered as securities. Coinbase shares fell as much as 4.8% in premarket trading Tuesday. 8.

It's time to "back the truck up" and buy stocks. That's according to the chief strategist at an £8 trillion brokerage. She laid out why investors should make their move now -- and why the bear market presents a great opportunity to scoop up stocks on the cheap.

9. A senior economist said home prices are primed for a 2008-style crash. A perfect storm is brewing, Jose Torres of Interactive Brokers said, as housing construction booms and demand get crushed by rising mortgage rates. He explained why he expects to see something similar to what happened during the Great Financial Crisis. 


inflation wage Madison Hoff/Insider

10. The £7.25 federal minimum wage just turned 13 years old. Many states have since taken matters into their own hands and bumped up pay, but not all of them have. Now, as inflation continues to soar, the minimum wage's value is at its lowest point in decades.


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Curated by Phil Rosen in New York. (Feedback or tips?

Email [email protected] or tweet @philrosenn).  Edited by Max Adams (@maxradams) in New York and Hallam Bullock (@hallam_bullock) in London. 

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